Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1171.227481 1327.603169 1500.580676 1706.712367 1946.435266 2217.346597 2547.970619
2025-10-05 957.794993 1172.045714 1431.163434 1770.268652 2206.230720 2753.125484 3499.406504
2025-10-12 830.131138 1067.747055 1372.509276 1797.303471 2382.445607 3172.505406 4341.358718
2025-10-19 736.087466 984.843391 1319.183012 1809.611739 2524.646185 3551.458634 5179.341097
2025-10-26 663.818515 918.131504 1273.779842 1818.858539 2653.887697 3920.201749 6056.813555
2025-11-02 617.820564 880.645058 1261.757283 1870.012460 2845.956799 4404.477799 7196.905213
2025-11-09 575.290991 842.186068 1241.884763 1903.482426 3010.667831 4865.051869 8379.845486
2025-11-16 536.728224 804.830012 1218.225186 1925.663647 3156.496842 5311.818923 9620.895006
2025-11-23 503.356580 771.650805 1196.652235 1946.890310 3300.855346 5774.459824 10981.420871
2025-11-30 477.093657 746.895990 1185.422207 1983.000279 3474.464973 6314.999948 12608.976312
2025-12-07 437.606404 696.724660 1126.714488 1927.976399 3470.595038 6511.431285 13545.115631
2025-12-14 402.539483 650.906509 1071.021189 1871.722745 3455.819919 6681.477494 14455.012072
2025-12-21 368.307448 604.429703 1011.219412 1803.535872 3412.994250 6796.022398 15286.151535
2025-12-28 357.555949 597.941657 1021.886959 1870.994040 3655.884670 7566.823954 17923.608351
2026-01-04 342.282456 581.990332 1013.596985 1899.844444 3821.064018 8192.672708 20356.895589
2026-01-11 326.314218 563.396068 998.533507 1912.970415 3953.353750 8764.961148 22804.217112
2026-01-18 311.337963 545.392463 982.872222 1922.833191 4079.325882 9344.487807 25442.092779
2026-01-25 302.693546 538.545856 988.096495 1977.403632 4316.891895 10251.084468 29363.264634
2026-02-01 292.545714 527.981904 984.921356 2013.117486 4514.491440 11092.391205 33360.742373
2026-02-08 281.869830 515.550835 976.828410 2036.789406 4685.784601 11896.825797 37518.810243
2026-02-15 271.838420 503.632906 968.727075 2059.445296 4857.965268 12740.090688 42133.260741
2026-02-22 263.914207 495.350437 967.493146 2097.992563 5078.048957 13773.238770 47886.784875
2026-03-01 248.071992 469.829455 927.470376 2039.257753 5026.136492 13961.775530 50315.786538